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Long-Term Analyses

$CRWD: Home Run or Strike Three?

CrowdStrike Long-Term Analysis

Rick Sullivan 🦆's avatar
Rick Sullivan 🦆
May 27, 2025
∙ Paid

Hey!

Today we're looking at CrowdStrike CRWD 0.00%↑ . They're growing like a weed, but some of the numbers under the hood, especially from the analysis I'm looking at today, are making my eyebrows shoot up. Let's see what the numbers tell us.

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Quick Summary (TL;DR)

  • The stock price has been on a rocket ship lately, but the company isn't actually making a profit in the traditional sense (what accountants call GAAP profit).

  • Here's the kicker: The analysis I've got includes some future cash flow projections that are downright scary. We'll get into that.

  • What They Do (Business Model): 🟩 (Important business, smart tech)

  • Real Profits (GAAP): 🟥 (Losing money on paper, can't cover interest payments easily)

  • Cash Flow (Future Projections from this analysis): 🟥🟥 (If this data is accurate, it's a five-alarm fire)

  • Sales Growth: 🟩 (Sales are definitely booming)

  • Price Tag (Valuation): 🟥 (You're paying a fortune for a company that's not yet reliably profitable)

  • Stock Chart (Technicals): 🟩 (Looks good for now, but charts can turn fast)

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Breaking Down the Business

So, what does CrowdStrike actually do? Imagine every computer, laptop, phone, and server in a big company is a potential doorway for cybercriminals. CrowdStrike, with its Falcon platform, acts like a super-smart, cloud-connected security guard for all those "endpoints." It uses artificial intelligence (AI) to spot threats, learn from attempted attacks across all its customers, and hopefully stop breaches before they do real damage. They also offer services like threat intelligence (knowing who the bad guys are and what they're up to) and help companies respond if they do get hit.

Why it matters is pretty obvious – hackers are everywhere, and a big breach can cost a company millions, not to mention its reputation. So, cybersecurity is a must-have, and CrowdStrike is a leader in its specific cloud-based niche.

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